Reading economies through minds, not just models
Behavioural, economic and political intelligence on emerging-market societies—measuring how people actually experience growth, stress and leadership.
If citizens in a "growing" economy still feel squeezed, the numbers aren't telling the whole story
We track trust in institutions, time lost to bureaucracy, cost-of-living stress, migration intent and the quiet psychology of austerity. Our work sits between data and behaviour—a place where budgets, households and history meet.
Signature Indices
Mind Economy Indices
Four composite indices measuring how macroeconomic statistics align with lived experience across 20 Global South economies: Human Intelligence, Human Priorities, Fiscal Stress and Youth Opportunity.
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Tin Tuna Index
Measuring how many minutes of work it takes to buy basic food in selected Global South economies—a different way to read inflation and dignity.
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UN46 Reports
Building the human file on 46 African and Global South economies where mainstream coverage is thin, but risk and institutional trust are decisive.
Growth on paper, pressure at home
IMF forecasts suggest that large Global South economies will continue to outgrow advanced economies in 2025. Yet household sentiment is shaped less by GDP and more by energy prices, services, debt and time.
| Economy | IMF 2025 GDP | Human Signal to Watch |
|---|---|---|
| 🇮🇳 India | 6.5% | Urban services, youth jobs |
| 🇨🇳 China | 4.1% | Confidence, property recovery |
| 🇮🇩 Indonesia | 5.1% | Service delivery, price sentiment |
| 🇧🇷 Brazil | 2.1% | Security, inequality fatigue |
| 🇿🇦 South Africa | 1.3% | Energy reliability, trust |
| 🇳🇬 Nigeria | 3.0% | Inflation anger, migration outflow |
Human Intelligence Unit
Reading economies through minds, not just models
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